DSX Diana Shipping
Dry Bulk Β· Newcastlemax / Capesize / Post-Panamax / Kamsarmax / Panamax / Ultramax Β· 156 documents
Diana Shipping's 36-vessel dry bulk fleet β 9 Ultramax, 8 Capesize, 6 Kamsarmax and 13 across 3 other classes β should earn about $29,577 a day in 2026Q3 and pay $0.01 a share. That is our forecast (PATTERN).
Yields annualise each quarter Γ4 at the last close, $2.50 (2026-10-16). Our model is not company guidance.
What will Diana Shipping pay for 2026Q3?
Rates in, dividend out 2026Q3
Model Your scenarioSet a rate per vessel class and the statement below re-prices: our modelβs figures in one column, yours beside them. These are your numbers, not our forecast and not company guidance; nothing you set is saved.
Latest rates
| Class | Company earned | Booked 2026Q3 | Market now | 8 weeks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastlemax Β· 4 | $16,5812026Q2 Β· fleet avg | βnone printed | βlicensed index only | |
| Capesize Β· 8 | $16,5812026Q2 Β· fleet avg | βnone printed | βlicensed index only | |
| Post-Panamax Β· 4 | $16,5812026Q2 Β· fleet avg | βnone printed | βlicensed index only | |
| Kamsarmax Β· 6 | $16,5812026Q2 Β· fleet avg | βnone printed | βlicensed index only | |
| Panamax Β· 5 | $16,5812026Q2 Β· fleet avg | βnone printed | βlicensed index only | |
| Ultramax Β· 9 | $16,5812026Q2 Β· fleet avg | βnone printed | βlicensed index only |
Company earned: the issuerβs own reported TCE (linked). Booked: cover the issuer printed for 2026Q3. Market now: the median across the broker route prints we hold for the class β a derived blend, not a vendor index; the trend is rebased to 100 eight weeks ago. Dry-bulk class rates exist only as licensed Baltic Exchange indices, which this site does not republish.
Your rates every day is at your rate
2026Q3 P&L and cash
| Line | Model | Your scenario | Ξ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vessel-days, days modelledShips on the fleet list Γ the quarter's calendar days for capesize, kamsarmax, newcastlemax, panamax, post-panamax, ultramax: no off-hire or drydock days are deducted there. |
3,312 | 3,312 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
By class
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fleet TCE, $/day assumed | 29,577 | 29,577 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Revenue (TCE basis), $m assumedVessel-days Γ fleet TCE. |
98.0 | 98.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Vessel opex, $m assumed2026Q2: $21.0m over 3,312 vessel-days, held per day. Source (2026Q2) |
(21.0) | (21.0) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
G&A, $m assumed2026Q2: $8.6m over 3,312 vessel-days, held per day. Source (2026Q2) |
(8.6) | (8.6) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| EBITDA, $m assumed | 68.4 | 68.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hire for chartered-in ships, $mNot on file for any quarter (not extracted, or not disclosed). |
β | β | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest expense, $m assumed2026Q2: $9.6m over 3,312 vessel-days, held per day. Source (2026Q2) |
(9.6) | (9.6) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Scheduled debt amortisation, $m stated2026Q2: $15.6m over 3,312 vessel-days, held per day (the issuerβs scheduled principal). Source (2026Q2) |
(15.6) | (15.6) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Drydock cost, $mNo separate drydock cash line on file. |
β | β | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cash break-even, $/day assumedΞ£ cash costs above Γ· vessel-days. |
16,537 | 16,537 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cushion vs fleet TCE, $/day | 13,040 | 13,040 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Free cash flow to equity, $m assumedRevenue β cash costs: the cash available for distribution. |
43.2 | 43.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Maintenance capex, $mNot disclosed as a cash line; not in the modelβs cash. |
β | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Dividend policy pattern
No stated payout policy on file.
Dividend by declared rate held flat; it does not move with the rate, so your scenario leaves it unchanged.
| Output | Model | Your scenario | Ξ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estimated DPS, $/share pattern | $0.01 | ||
| Forward yield, run-rate % | 1.6% | ||
| vs last declared ($0.01, 2026Q2) | +0% |
Yield annualises the quarterβs DPS Γ 4 (a run-rate, not a forecast of the year) against the $2.50 close on 2026-10-16.
This dividend is set by declared rate held flat, not by the rate β your scenario moves the cash line, not the DPS.
Showing the modelβs own figures. Setting your own rates needs JavaScript.
Dividend per share declared Β· model
Market context β rates, the dividend, and the price
Rates and dividend β realized rate and declared
Bars are the fleet TCE this issuer reported. Dashed-outline bars are the model estimate β see Dividend forecast.
The line is the declared dividend per share β dashed where it is the model's estimate. Model estimate β not issuer guidance.
Forward (our model β model quarter Γ4): $0.04/yr Β· @ $2.50 (as of 2026-10-16) = 1.6% yield (spot-exposure scenario) Β· Trailing TTM $0.04/yr = 1.6%
How we got the number
How to read this page
Every figure here is built the same way: the fleet's vessel-days are priced at the rate its classes earned, costs and debt service come off, and what is left is measured against the dividend the company actually declared. Nothing is estimated where it can be sourced, and a number that cannot be sourced is withheld rather than filled in. The full method, and the rates behind it β
No departure from the method above is recorded for DSX; the inputs and their basis are listed below.
What drives it β fleet TCE, 2026Q3
Earnings bridge β 2026Q2 β 2026Q3
Dividend history & forecast accuracy
Upcoming
| Quarter | Ex-date (est.) | Forecast DPS | Actual DPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q3 E | β | $0.01 | β |
| 2026Q4 E | β | $0.01 | β |
| Period | DPS | Kind | Ex-date | Pay date | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q2 | $0.01/share | regular | β | 2026-09-11 | as of 2026-07-30 declaration |
| 2026-Q1 | $0.01/share | regular | β | 2026-06-18 | as of 2026-05-28 declaration |
| 2025-Q4 | $0.01/share | regular | β | 2026-03-18 | as of 2025-11-20 declaration |
| 2025-Q3 | $0.01/share | regular | β | β | as of 2025-11-20 declaration |
| 2025-Q2 | $0.01/share | regular | β | 2025-09-11 | as of 2025-03-21 declaration |
| 2025-Q1 | $0.01/share | regular | β | 2025-06-24 | as of 2025-05-29 declaration |
| 2024-Q4 | $0.01/share | regular | β | 2025-03-21 | as of 2025-02-25 declaration |
DPS method: declared rate held flat.
Financials & fleet
Latest quarter 2026Q2 2 qtrs old
8Γ capesize Β· 6Γ kamsarmax Β· 4Γ newcastlemax Β· 5Γ panamax Β· 4Γ Post-Panamax Β· 9Γ ultramax current
Fleet model β 2026Q3
Fleet model estimate β not issuer guidance.
| Class | Ships | TC | Spot | % Fixed | Guided $/d | Spot $/d | Blended $/d | QTD rev $M | Modeled Q rev $M |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastlemax | 4 | β | β | β | β | β | 47,050 | β | 17.3 |
| Capesize | 8 | β | β | β | β | β | 47,050 | β | 34.6 |
| Post-Panamax | 4 | β | β | β | β | β | 21,375 | β | 7.9 |
| Kamsarmax | 6 | β | β | β | β | β | 21,375 | β | 11.8 |
| Panamax | 5 | β | β | β | β | β | 21,375 | β | 9.8 |
| Ultramax | 9 | β | β | β | β | β | 19,950 | β | 16.5 |
| Total | 36 | 29,577 | β | 98.0 | |||||
Guided rates are issuer-booked cover for 2026Q3 blended with SSY capesize assessments and the Braemar dry-FFA curve for the open days.
Bear counts booked cover only, with open days at zero; Base is the next-quarter estimate above, which prices the open days; Bull needs a recent peak index, which this fleet's classes do not have.
Model gaps & assumptions
newcastlemax: SSY Capesize Index SPOT proxy $47,050/day (our mean of 2026Q3's monthly medians across the SSY T/C routes, 3/3 months, 48 weekly print(s); the quarter has ended, so it is priced at its own months; route values are licensed and not shown; no Gibson route for dry class) Β· newcastlemax: priced off the Capesize index β a neighbouring market (208k vs 180k dwt), ASSUMED, no premium added (owner 2026-10-19) Β· index realization not applied to the cape classes: fewer than 2 closed quarters with this issuer's own cape TCE on file β the open share is priced at the full index, which this issuer has not been shown to capture Β· newcastlemax: no fixed-coverage guidance -> 100% spot proxy Β· capesize: SSY Capesize Index SPOT proxy $47,050/day (our mean of 2026Q3's monthly medians across the SSY T/C routes, 3/3 months, 48 weekly print(s); the quarter has ended, so it is priced at its own months; route values are licensed and not shown; no Gibson route for dry class) Β· capesize: no fixed-coverage guidance -> 100% spot proxy Β· post-panamax: priced off the Panamax FFA curve β the board quotes no Post-Panamax line (mean of 1/3 months; 2026-09 contract; not a spot print; no Gibson route for dry class) Β· index realization not applied to the Panamax/Supramax/Handysize families: the Braemar curve began in 2026-09, so there is no history to measure this issuer's capture against β their open share is priced at the full curve Β· post-panamax: no fixed-coverage guidance -> 100% spot proxy Β· kamsarmax: priced off the Panamax FFA curve β the board quotes no Kamsarmax line (mean of 1/3 months; 2026-09 contract; not a spot print; no Gibson route for dry class) Β· kamsarmax: no fixed-coverage guidance -> 100% spot proxy Β· panamax: Braemar dry-FFA FORWARD-curve proxy (mean of 1/3 months; 2026-09 contract; not a spot print; no Gibson route for dry class) Β· panamax: no fixed-coverage guidance -> 100% spot proxy Β· ultramax: priced off the Supramax FFA curve β the board quotes no Ultramax line (mean of 1/3 months; 2026-09 contract; not a spot print; no Gibson route for dry class) Β· ultramax: no fixed-coverage guidance -> 100% spot proxy Β· one-model DPS not used: fewer than 3 quarters of rate and dividend history, no break-even, or it does not explain the company's own dividends (RΒ² < 0.5) Β· DPS is the declared rate: $0.010 in each of 6 quarters (2025Q1, 2025Q2, 2025Q3, 2025Q4, 2026Q1, 2026Q2) β held flat, so it is not modelled from TCE
Profit statement highlights
| Line | 2026Q2 | 2026Q1 | YoY Ξ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $57.3M | β | β |
| Opex | $21.0M | β | β |
| Net income | $19.3M | β | β |
reconciliation: insufficient data for an earnings bridge (2026Q2) earnings bridge incomplete β treat income-derived figures as provisional
Full P&L grid β 6 quarters
| Line item | 2026Q2 | 2026Q1 | 2025Q4 | 2025Q3 | 2025Q2 | 2025Q1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue $M | 57.3 | β | β | β | β | β |
| Voyage expenses $M | β | β | β | β | β | β |
| Vessel opex $M | 21.0 | β | β | β | β | β |
| G&A $M | 8.6 | β | β | β | β | β |
| Depreciation $M | β | β | β | β | β | β |
| Interest expense, gross $M | 9.6 | β | β | β | β | β |
| Net income $M | 19.3 | β | β | β | β | β |
| Declared DPS | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
Realized fleet TCE
Realized fleet TCE versus benchmark: 1 points, 2026-04-01 to 2026-04-01; Realized fleet TCE latest 16,581.00.
Benchmark comparison will appear once issuer-printed benchmark data is available.
Guidance & sources
Issuer guidance β forward-looking
| Period | Metric | Value | Coverage | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027FY | Fleet charters expiring (vessels) | 20 vessels | β | 2026-07-29 | |
| 2028FY | Fleet charters expiring (vessels) | 1 vessels | β | 2026-07-29 |
Historical guidance (1 rows)
| Period | Metric | Value | Coverage | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026FY | Fleet charters expiring (vessels) | 15 vessels | β | 2026-07-29 |
Sources β press, filings & documents
Press & filings by quarter
Recent documents
- edgar 2026-10-08 6-K β Current Report (2026-10-08)
- edgar 2026-10-08 6-K exhibit (2026-10-08)
- edgar 2026-09-22 6-K β Current Report (2026-09-22)
- edgar 2026-09-22 6-K exhibit (2026-09-22)
- edgar 2026-09-16 6-K β Current Report (2026-09-16)
- edgar 2026-09-16 6-K exhibit (2026-09-16)
- edgar 2026-08-25 6-K β Current Report (2026-08-25)
- edgar 2026-08-25 6-K exhibit (2026-08-25)
- edgar 2026-08-14 6-K β Current Report (2026-08-14)
- edgar 2026-08-14 6-K exhibit (2026-08-14)
- edgar 2026-08-11 6-K β Current Report (2026-08-11)
- edgar 2026-08-11 6-K exhibit (2026-08-11)