SDRL Seadrill

Offshore Β· Drillship / Semisub Β· 152 documents

Seadrill pays no dividend, in its own words, so our forecast is $0.00 a share.

2026Q3 Β· our model
$0.00
$229,476/d modelled
STATED
the company's stated decision to pay none
2026Q4 Β· our model
$0.00
0.0% annualised
$229,476/d modelled
the company's stated decision to pay none

Yields annualise each quarter Γ—4 at the last close, $47.25 (2026-10-16). Our model is not company guidance.

What will Seadrill pay for 2026Q3?

Company said
Seadrill has published no booked rates for 2026Q3. It pays no dividend, in its own words: β€œSeadrill Limited was incorporated on October 15, 2021 and has not paid any dividends since its incorporation.” (2026-02-26, source).
β€”
$0.00
no dividend
Our model
Every day at the company's own last realized rate; dividend by the company's stated decision to pay none.
$229,476/d
modelled
$0.00
modelled Β· STATED

Rates in, dividend out 2026Q3

Model Your scenario

Set a rate per vessel class and the statement below re-prices: our model’s figures in one column, yours beside them. These are your numbers, not our forecast and not company guidance; nothing you set is saved.

Latest rates

ClassCompany earnedBooked 2026Q3Market now8 weeks
Drillship Β· 12 $229,4762026Q2 Β· fleet avg β€”none printed β€”no open $/day series
Semisub Β· 5 $229,4762026Q2 Β· fleet avg β€”none printed β€”no open $/day series

Company earned: the issuer’s own reported TCE (linked). Booked: cover the issuer printed for 2026Q3. Market now: the median across the broker route prints we hold for the class β€” a derived blend, not a vendor index; the trend is rebased to 100 eight weeks ago.

Your rates every day is at your rate

Drillship 1,104 open days
Semisub 460 open days

2026Q3 P&L and cash

LineModelYour scenarioΞ”
Vessel-days, days modelled

Ships on the fleet list Γ— the quarter's calendar days for drillship, semisub: no off-hire or drydock days are deducted there.

1,564 1,564
By class
ClassDaysModel $/dayYours $/day
Drillship1,104229,476229,476
Semisub460229,476229,476
Fleet TCE, $/day assumed 229,476 229,476
Revenue (TCE basis), $m assumed

Vessel-days Γ— fleet TCE.

358.9 358.9
Vessel opex, $m assumed

2026Q2: $215.0m over 1,564 vessel-days, held per day. Source (2026Q2)

(215.0) (215.0)
G&A, $m assumed

2026Q2: $29.0m over 1,564 vessel-days, held per day. Source (2026Q2)

(29.0) (29.0)
EBITDA, $m assumed 114.9 114.9
Hire for chartered-in ships, $m

Not on file for any quarter (not extracted, or not disclosed).

β€” β€”
Interest expense, $m assumed

2026Q2: $16.0m over 1,564 vessel-days, held per day. Source (2026Q2)

(16.0) (16.0)
Scheduled debt amortisation, $m stated

2026Q2: $0.0m over 1,564 vessel-days, held per day (the issuer’s scheduled principal). Source (2026Q2)

0.0 0.0
Drydock cost, $m

No separate drydock cash line on file.

β€” β€”
Cash break-even, $/day assumed

Ξ£ cash costs above Γ· vessel-days.

166,240 166,240
Cushion vs fleet TCE, $/day 63,236 63,236
Free cash flow to equity, $m assumed

Revenue βˆ’ cash costs: the cash available for distribution.

98.9 98.9
Capex (memo), $m

As reported for 2026Q2. Not deducted: the model’s cash is opex, G&A, interest and scheduled principal. Source (2026Q2)

(25.0)

Dividend policy stated

No stated payout policy on file.

The company’s own word sets this dividend; it does not move with the rate.

OutputModelYour scenarioΞ”
Estimated DPS, $/share stated $0.00
Forward yield, run-rate % 0.0%

Yield annualises the quarter’s DPS Γ— 4 (a run-rate, not a forecast of the year) against the $47.25 close on 2026-10-16.

This dividend is set by the company's stated decision to pay none, not by the rate β€” your scenario moves the cash line, not the DPS.

Showing the model’s own figures. Setting your own rates needs JavaScript.

Market context β€” rates, the dividend, and the price

Rates and dividend β€” realized rate and declared

Realized fleet TCEDeclared DPS
$0k
$150k
$300k
2026Q3
2026Q4
Declared DPS, USD/share — solid: declared · dashed: model
$0.00
$0.00

Bars are the fleet TCE this issuer reported. Dashed-outline bars are the model estimate β€” see Dividend forecast.

The line is the declared dividend per share β€” dashed where it is the model's estimate. Model estimate β€” not issuer guidance.

How we got the number

How to read this page

Every figure here is built the same way: the fleet's vessel-days are priced at the rate its classes earned, costs and debt service come off, and what is left is measured against the dividend the company actually declared. Nothing is estimated where it can be sourced, and a number that cannot be sourced is withheld rather than filled in. The full method, and the rates behind it β†’

Where SDRL departs from that

  • The company has said it pays no dividend, so the page publishes $0.00 with its own words rather than a model figure.
  • No market index covers this fleet's vessel types, so each is priced at the company's own last realized rate per calendar vessel-day (revenue divided by vessel-days), held flat β€” the revenue track record shows how that has done.

What drives it β€” fleet TCE, 2026Q3

Expected fleet TCE
$229,476/d
ASSUMED
How we got to the DPS
The company's stated decision to pay none STATED $0.00
Stated payout policy declined β€” the company publishes no payout policy this model can read

Earnings bridge β€” 2026Q2 β†’ 2026Q3

Expected DPS (2026Q3) $0.00

Financials & fleet

Latest quarter 2026Q2 2 qtrs old

Fleet
17
Realized TCE
$229,476/d 2026Q2
Declared DPS
β€”
TTM DPS
β€”
Coverage
β€”
Revenue
$449.0M
Opex
$215.0M
Net income
$29.0M

12Γ— drillship Β· 5Γ— semisub current

Revenue model track record model vs realized

Each quarter priced at the previous quarter's realized rate, held flat β€” the figure the model holds once that quarter is reported β€” against the rate the fleet actually realized. Average miss 8.8% over 5 backtested quarters.

QuarterRecordModel $/dayRealized $/dayModel rev $MRealized rev $MMiss
2025Q2backtest 162,092186,167 250.8288.0 -12.9%
2025Q3backtest 186,167179,028 291.2280.0 +4.0%
2025Q4backtest 179,028174,552 280.0273.0 +2.6%
2026Q1backtest 174,552181,046 267.1277.0 -3.6%
2026Q2backtest 181,046229,476 280.1355.0 -21.1%

Backtest rows apply today's rule to past quarters using only the prior quarters' reported rates; live rows are the forecast as frozen on the date shown. Revenue is rate Γ— vessel-days, so a miss here is a rate miss.

Fleet model β€” 2026Q3

Fleet model estimate β€” not issuer guidance.

ClassShipsTCSpot% FixedGuided $/dSpot $/dBlended $/dQTD rev $MModeled Q rev $M
Drillship12β€”β€” β€” β€” β€” 229,476 β€” 253.3
Semisub5β€”β€” β€” β€” β€” 229,476 β€” 105.6
Total17 229,476 β€” 358.9

Guided rates are issuer-booked cover for 2026Q3 blended with the company's own realized rates for the open days.

Revenue if rates hold
$358.9M

Bear uses booked coverage only; Base prices open vessels at the company's own last realized fleet rate β€” no market index covers this fleet, so there is no peak-index Bull case.

Model gaps & assumptions

drillship: no index and no guidance β€” priced at the issuer's own last realized fleet rate $229,476/day (2026Q2, derived: revenue per vessel-day β€” 355m / (17 x 91)), held flat (owner ruling 2026-09-26) Β· semisub: no index and no guidance β€” priced at the issuer's own last realized fleet rate $229,476/day (2026Q2, derived: revenue per vessel-day β€” 355m / (17 x 91)), held flat (owner ruling 2026-09-26) Β· no dividend, in the company's words: β€œSeadrill Limited was incorporated on October 15, 2021 and has not paid any dividends since its incorporation.” (2026-02-26)

Profit statement highlights

Line2026Q22026Q1YoY Ξ”
Revenue $449.0M $358.0M +19.1%
Opex $215.0M $334.0M -42.0%
Net income $29.0M βˆ’$7.0M n/m
Full P&L grid β€” 6 quarters
Line item2026Q22026Q12025Q42025Q32025Q22025Q1
Revenue $M449.0358.0362.0363.0377.0335.0
Voyage expenses $Mβ€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”
Vessel opex $M215.0334.0344.0337.0371.0317.0
G&A $M29.025.027.027.026.023.0
Depreciation $Mβ€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”
Interest expense, gross $M16.015.0β€”15.015.015.0
Net income $M29.0βˆ’7.0βˆ’10.0βˆ’11.0βˆ’42.0βˆ’14.0
Declared DPSβ€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”

Profit statement – highlights SEC EDGAR company facts

LineH1 2017FY2017H1 2018H1 2019FY20192019Q2H1 2020FY20202020Q2H1 2021FY20212021Q2FY20222022Q22023Q1H1 2023FY20232023Q22024Q1H1 20242024Q4 (FY βˆ’ 9M)FY20242024Q22024Q32025Q1H1 20252025Q4 (FY βˆ’ 9M)FY20252025Q22025Q32026Q1H1 20262026Q2YoY Ξ”
Revenue β€”2088.0β€”623.01254.0321.0598.0961.0277.0452.0907.0219.0β€”253.0β€”680.01502.0414.0367.0742.0289.01385.0375.0354.0335.0712.0362.01437.0377.0363.0358.0807.0449.0 +19.1%
EBITDA / operating income -17.0-728.0-613.0-144.0-296.0-73.0-1372.0-4481.0-88.0-252.0-156.0-228.0β€”25.0β€”160.0329.0109.080.0368.0-3.0412.0288.047.018.024.0-3.047.06.026.024.096.072.0 > +500%
Operating expenses β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€” β€”
Net result -101.0-3102.0-635.0-502.0-1222.0-206.0-1748.0-4663.0-183.0-605.0-587.0-294.03907.0-36.043.0137.0300.094.060.0313.0101.0446.0253.032.0-14.0-56.0-10.0-77.0-42.0-11.0-7.022.029.0 n/m
Declared DPS β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€” β€”
Full P&L grid β€” 4 lines Γ— 33 quarters
Line itemH1 2017FY2017H1 2018H1 2019FY2019Q2 2019H1 2020FY2020Q2 2020H1 2021FY2021Q2 2021FY2022Q2 2022Q1 2023H1 2023FY2023Q2 2023Q1 2024H1 2024Q4 2024FY2024Q2 2024Q3 2024Q1 2025H1 2025Q4 2025FY2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q1 2026H1 2026Q2 2026
Operating revenuesβ€”2088.0β€”623.01254.0321.0598.0961.0277.0452.0907.0219.0β€”253.0β€”680.01502.0414.0367.0742.0289.01385.0375.0354.0335.0712.0362.01437.0377.0363.0358.0807.0449.0
Operating expensesβ€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”β€”
Operating income-17.0-728.0-613.0-144.0-296.0-73.0-1372.0-4481.0-88.0-252.0-156.0-228.0β€”25.0β€”160.0329.0109.080.0368.0-3.0412.0288.047.018.024.0-3.047.06.026.024.096.072.0
Profit for the period-101.0-3102.0-635.0-502.0-1222.0-206.0-1748.0-4663.0-183.0-605.0-587.0-294.03907.0-36.043.0137.0300.094.060.0313.0101.0446.0253.032.0-14.0-56.0-10.0-77.0-42.0-11.0-7.022.029.0

Realized vs benchmark

Realized fleet TCE versus benchmark: 6 points, 2025-01-01 to 2026-04-01; Realized fleet TCE latest 229,476.00; Market benchmark latest 360,000.00.

image/svg+xml 2025 Apr Jul Oct 2026 Apr 175,000 200,000 225,000 250,000 275,000 300,000 325,000 350,000 229,476 360,000 Realized fleet TCE Market benchmark USD/day

Benchmark index β€” monthly average

Benchmark index monthly average: 5 points, 2025-08-01 to 2026-04-01; HE semi dayrate (fixtures) latest 450,000.00; 7th-gen drillship (fixtures) latest 357,250.00; 6th-gen drillship (fixtures) latest 300,000.00; Jackup dayrate (fixtures) latest 150,000.00.

Benchmark index monthly average

Contracted backlog revenue model reconciliation

Forward revenue from issuer's unit-by-unit fleet status contracts. Backlog $2,900M as of 2026Q2 Β· implied dayrate $440,529/day.

QuarterContracted rig-daysRevenue $M
2026Q31,166$513.7M
2026Q41,073$472.7M
2027Q1959$422.5M
2027Q2910$400.9M
2027Q3890$392.1M
2027Q4675$297.4M
2028Q1455$200.4M
2028Q2455$200.4M

13 contracted Β· 0 stacked (excluded)

Rig fleet status

Backlog $2,900M Β· economic utilization 95.5%

RigClassDayrate $/dayContracted toSource
Sevan Louisianasemisub β€” 2026-08 print
West Aurigadrillship β€” 2027-11 print
West Capelladrillship β€” 2027-08 print
West Carinadrillship β€” β€” print
West Jupiterdrillship β€” 2029-03 print
West Neptunedrillship β€” 2027-10 print
West Polarisdrillship 413,400 2031-01 print
West Saturndrillship β€” 2027-10 print
West Tellusdrillship β€” 2029-06 print
West Veladrillship β€” 2028-06 print
West Elarasemisub β€” 2027-12 print
West Geminidrillship β€” 2026-11 print
Sonangol Libongosdrillship β€” 2027-02 print
Sonangol Quengueladrillship β€” 2028-07 print
West Aquariussemisub β€” β€” print
West Phoenixsemisub β€” β€” print
West Eclipsesemisub β€” β€” print
QuarterBacklog $MUtilization
2025Q1$2,800M83.9%
2025Q2$2,500M93.4%
2025Q3$2,500M91.1%
2025Q4$2,500M91.0%
2026Q1$3,100M94.6%
2026Q2$2,900M95.5%

Guidance & sources

Sources β€” press, filings & documents

Press & filings by quarter

QuarterReportPresentationDividendOther
2026Q3 10-Q 2Q26 SEADRILL LIMITED INTERIM REPORT β€” β€” 8-K SEADRILL LIMITED 2Q 2026 EARNINGS RELEASE
2026Q2 10-Q 1Q26 SEADRILL LIMITED INTERIM REPORT β€” β€” 8-K, 8-K, 8-K exhibit, 8-K, 8-K, 8-K exhibit, 8-K exhibit, 8-K, 8-K SEADRILL LIMITED 1Q 2026 EARNINGS RELEASE
2026Q1 10-K 2025 SEADRILL LIMITED ANNUAL REPORT β€” β€” 8-K, 8-K exhibit, 8-K SEADRILL LIMITED 4Q 2025 EARNINGS RELEASE
2025Q4 10-Q 3Q25 SEADRILL LIMITED INTERIM REPORT β€” β€” 8-K SEADRILL LIMITED 3Q 2025 EARNINGS RELEASE
2025Q3 10-K 2Q25 SEADRILL LIMITED INTERIM REPORT β€” β€” 8-K, 8-K SEADRILL LIMITED 2Q 2025 EARNINGS RELEASE, 8-K
2025Q2 10-Q 1Q25 SEADRILL LIMITED INTERIM REPORT β€” β€” 8-K, 8-K SEADRILL LIMITED 1Q 2025 EARNINGS RELEASE
2025Q1 10-K 2024 SEADRILL LIMITED ANNUAL REPORT β€” β€” 8-K, 8-K, 8-K exhibit
2024Q4 6-K, 6-K, 6-K SEADRILL INTERIM REPORT 3Q24, 6-K SEADRILL EARNINGS PRESS RELEASE 3Q24 β€” β€” β€”
2024Q3 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, SDRL: Seadrill Announces Second Quarter 2024 R…, SDRL: Seadrill Announces Second Quarter 2024 R…, SDRL: Seadrill Announces Second Quarter 2024 R…, 6-K SEADRILL EARNINGS PRESS RELEASE 2Q24, 6-K SEADRILL INTERIM REPORT 2Q24, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, SDRL: Seadrill Announces Second Quarter 2024 E…, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K β€” β€” SDRL: Seadrill Announces Transactions Made Und…, SDRL: Seadrill Announces Transactions Made Und…, SDRL: Seadrill Announces Transactions Made Und…, SDRL: Seadrill Announces Transactions Made Und…, Seadrill Limited - Transactions By Primary Ins…, SEADRILL LIMITED - NEW SHARE CAPITAL, SDRL: Seadrill Announces Transactions Made Und…, SDRL: Seadrill Announces Transactions Made Und…, SDRL: Seadrill Announces Transactions Made Und…, SDRL: Seadrill Announces Transactions Made Und…, SDRL: Seadrill Announces Transactions Made Und…, SDRL: Financial calendar, SDRL: Seadrill Provides Further Shareholder In…, SDRL: Seadrill Announces Transactions Made Und…, SDRL: Seadrill Announces Transactions Made Und…
2024Q2 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, Seadrill Limited (SDRL) - First Quarter 2024 R…, 6-K SEADRILL INTERIM REPORT 1Q24, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, Seadrill Limited - Results of the 2024 Annual …, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K β€” β€” Seadrill Limited - Transaction by Primary Insi…, SDRL: Seadrill Effects Cancellation of Treasur…, SDRL: Seadrill Completes Share Repurchase Prog…, SEADRILL LIMITED - NEW SHARE CAPITAL, SDRL: Seadrill Completes Share Repurchase Prog…, SDRL: Seadrill Completes Divestment of Jack-Up…, SDRL: Seadrill Announces Transactions Made Und…, SDRL: Seadrill Announces Transactions Made Und…, SDRL: Seadrill Announces Voluntary Delisting f…, Seadrill Limited - Delisting, Seadrill Limited - Strykning, SDRL: Seadrill Announces Transactions Made Und…, SEADRILL LIMITED - NEW SHARE CAPITAL, SEADRILL LIMITED - NEW SHARE CAPITAL, SEADRILL LIMITED - TRANSACTION BY PRIMARY INSI…, SDRL: Seadrill Announces Transactions Made Und…, SDRL: Seadrill Announces Transactions Made Und…, SDRL: Seadrill Announces Transactions Made Und…, Disclosure of large shareholding - Seadrill Li…, SDRL: Seadrill Announces Transactions Made Und…, SDRL: Received application for delisting, SDRL: Mottatt sΓΈknad om strykning, SDRL: Seadrill Announces Transactions Made Und…, SDRL: Seadrill Announces Transactions Made Und…, SDRL: Seadrill Announces Transactions Made Und…, Seadrill Limited - Approval of New Incentive A…, SDRL: Seadrill Announces Transactions Made Und…
2024Q1 6-K, 20-F 2023 SEADRILL LIMITED, 6-K exhibit, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K exhibit, 6-K exhibit, 6-K exhibit, 6-K exhibit, 6-K exhibit, FORM 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K exhibit, FORM 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K, 6-K β€” β€” β€”

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